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Crown Green Handicap

Tom Scott

Team: Port Sunlight Village/Works BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

723

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

21

Matches Played

12

Wins

9

Losses

57%

Win Rate

11.2

Avg Win Margin

9.2

Avg Loss Margin

8-2

Home Record

4-7

Away Record

29%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
21 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/19/2016

Only 21 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 156/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 21 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

13 May3 Jun17 Jun1 Jul22 Jul5 Aug19 Aug-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
57%
score+0.14→contribution+0.06
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
11.2
score+0.53→contribution+0.13
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.2
score-0.20→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
709
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score+0.159
Sample Size Confidence
29%(21/39 matches)
Rating1080 → shrunk 1023→ adjusted 723
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

12W9L21 matches·57.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Port Sunlight Village/Works B2016League 3, Division 32112957.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/19/2016Dave BibbyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Kenny BrierleyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/8/2016Jim IvanoffH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2016Dave GrundyA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016Marie RevansA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Eddie ShiffH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Ken FlintH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/15/2016Pauline CrilleyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2016Dave FinlayA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2016Kevin PulhamH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2016Des ClarkeA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs Albany BH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Peter BuckneyH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Derek CarrollH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Derek CarrollA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2016Clive BrownH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2016Roy FergusonA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Chris TippeyA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2016John BensteadA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2016Brian PorterH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2016Joe BrettA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJim MasonPenketh Argyle21-12WINWON
Round of 16 Round# Tony StocktonRoyden Hall3-21LOSSLOST
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 1W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPeter HarrisonAlbany21-19WINLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LLWWW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LLWWWWWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Derek Carroll202100%6/13/2016
Dave Bibby0110%8/19/2016
Kenny Brierley0110%8/12/2016
Jim Ivanoff101100%8/8/2016
Dave Grundy101100%8/5/2016
Marie Revans101100%8/1/2016
Eddie Shiff101100%7/29/2016
Ken Flint101100%7/22/2016
Pauline Crilley0110%7/15/2016
Dave Finlay0110%7/8/2016
Biggest Win
Eddie Shiff (+18)7/29/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Chris Tippey (-19)5/16/2016
Best Season
201657% · 21 matches
Worst Season
201657% · 21 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
70% → 45%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
66118 known · 3 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
10-856% win rate

By Division

League 310-4 (71%)
Division 32-5 (29%)
League 371.4%
10W·4L·14 played
Division 328.6%
2W·5L·7 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Aug 19, 2016

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

21.0 (21 total)

Seasons

2016